Navigating Japan’s Market with the Nikkei 225 and FTSE Blossom Indices

23 Jul 2024

By Danish Lim, Investment Analyst, Phillip Nova

 

There are 2 ways to gain exposure to Japan’s equity market via futures contracts – via the SGX Nikkei 225 Index Futures or the SGX FTSE Blossom Japan Index Futures for ESG-conscious investors.

The Nikkei 225 Index is perhaps the most well-known blue-chip equity index in Japan. Born in 1950 and boasting a line-up of 225 major companies listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, it serves as a key barometer of the performance of the Japanese stock market.

It is a price-weighted index, meaning higher priced stocks carry greater weight. Technology (~50%) is by far the largest sector. The top 3 holdings include Fast Retailing (owner of Uniqlo), Tokyo Electron, and Softbank Group.

Nikkei 225 Index Futures are offered on 3 exchanges- Singapore Exchange (SGX), Osaka Exchange (OSE), and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). Below is a brief comparison of their offerings:

 

Singapore Exchange (SGX):

  • Contract size: ¥500 multiplied by the index futures price
  • Tick size: 5 index points or ¥2,500 per contract
  • Tick size (USD): 5 index points or US$25
  • Liquid market available for trading during onshore Japan holidays
  • Currency Option: USD or JPY
  • Mutual Offset System with CME enables round-the-clock trading

 

Mutual Offset System (MOS): CME and SGX have a special arrangement that allows traders of yen- and USD-based Nikkei 225 contracts to take positions at either exchange and clear them at the other on the same trading day. This provides flexibility and convenience for traders operating in different time zones.

 

Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME):

  • Contract size: ¥500 multiplied by the index futures price
  • Tick size: 5 index points, or ¥2,500 per contract
  • Tick size (USD): 5 index points or US$25 per contract
  • Currency Option: USD or JPY

 

Osaka Exchange (OSE):

  • Contract size: is larger, ¥1,000 multiplied by the index
  • Tick Size: 10 index points or ¥10,000 per contract
  • Currency Option: JPY only

 

While the Nikkei 225 is a solid investment choice, it’s worth noting that the SGX FTSE Blossom Japan Index Futures contract could be an equally compelling, yet often overlooked, alternative.

 

FTSE Blossom Japan Index Futures

Inaugurated in 2017, the FTSE Blossom Japan Index is a sustainability-focused equity index which tracks the performance of Japanese companies with strong environmental, social, and governance (ESG) practices.

It is constructed by selecting companies from the FTSE Japan All Cap Index with good ESG scores. The FTSE Blossom Japan Index is free-float market cap weighted and follows its parent Index (FTSE Japan All Cap Index).

As of 28 June 2024, Industrials (26.57%) and Consumer Discretionary (21.16%) are the largest sectors; followed by Financials (13.39%) and Tech (11.55%). The top 3 holdings are Toyota Motor, Sony Corp, and Hitachi. A single constituent’s weight in the index is capped at 15%.

What is the inclusion methodology?

Source: FTSE

 

  • Each company in the FTSE Japan All Cap Index universe is given an overall ESG score ranging from 0 to 5, with 5 being the highest score.
  • Those with an overall ESG score of 3.3 or above are eligible for inclusion to the FTSE Blossom Japan Index.
  • Those with an overall ESG score <2.9 or having one or more ESG themes assessed as high exposure with a corresponding score of zero are at risk of deletion from the index.
  • Constituents below the exclusion threshold during an index review have a 1-year grace period, it will be deleted at the index review one year later if the eligibility criterias are still not met. Index users will be informed of the list of constituents that are at risk of deletion by a client notification.
  • Companies involved in “controversial” business areas need to meet a higher requirement for inclusion or are excluded entirely. E.g. Nuclear weapons, Tobacco.
  • The index has 351 Japanese securities as of 16 July 2024. Index governance is overseen by the FTSE Russell ESG Advisory Committee, which includes investment professionals experienced in ESG factors.

 

What are the available products?

SGX-listed futures are likely the most liquid tradeable products. There are also 2 ETFs (Daiwa ETF FTSE Blossom Japan Index (1654) and the One ETF ESG (1498)) that are linked to the index but they are only listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE).

 

Key Information to Know

  1. The FTSE Blossom Japan Index is reviewed semi-annually in June and December.
  2. Changes arising from the reviews of the FTSE Blossom Japan Index will be implemented after the close of business on the third Friday (i.e. effective Monday) of June and December.
  3. A constituent will be removed from the FTSE Blossom Japan Index if it is also removed from the parent FTSE Japan All Cap Index

 

Key Highlights of the FTSE Blossom Japan Index

1) The FTSE Blossom Japan Index has outperformed the Nikkei 225 and TOPIX on a YTD basis.

Source: Bloomberg, 16 July

 

2) The FTSE Blossom Japan Index is highly correlated (93.6%) with the Nikkei 225 over the past 10 years. Allowing for easy integration into investment portfolios.

Source: Bloomberg, 16 July

 

 

3) Top 10 Gainers and Underperformers YTD in the FTSE Blossom Japan Index

Source: Bloomberg, 16 July

 

Why Sustainable Investments in Japan? Why Now?

As seen below, data from FTSE Russell shows that the ESG scores of Japanese companies have been gradually improving since 2020, finally catching up with European companies.

 

 

Nevertheless, there appears to be further room for improvement in the “S” and “G” pillars.

 

Latest Trends in Sustainable Investing

  1. Japan Principles for Responsible Investment (PRI)

Launched in 2006, the PRI is based on the premise that ESG factors have implications on investment performance, and offers a framework for incorporating ESG into the investment and ownership decisions.

At the annual “PRI in Person 2023” event, PM Kishida announced that at least 7 Japan public pensions with JPY 90T (US$ 600B) in AUM will sign the PRI.

The World’s largest pension fund, Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) has been a signatory of the PRI since 2015 and is consistently promoting ESG investment.

The FTSE Blossom Japan Index has been selected by GPIF as a core ESG benchmark. GPIF has roughly JPY 2.1T (~US$ 14B) of assets tracking the Blossom family of indices as of March 2024.

 

  1. Nippon Individual Savings Account (NISA)

Effective from January 2024, the NISA was enhanced to allow for inclusion of ESG indices for the first time. This includes ETFs linked to the FTSE Blossom Japan Index. Sustainable ESG investments is expected to broaden out to involve individual investors following the enhancement. Inflow of funds to NISA has been strong, supported by Japanese equities hitting new record highs.

 

FTSE Blossom Japan Index vs Nikkei225 Index

Style Tilts:

Source: Bloomberg, 15 July

 

From a style perspective, the Blossom index appears to be more tilted towards the Value, Low Vol, and Dividend Yield factors compared to the Nikkei 225 index. But it is less tilted towards the Quality, Growth, and Idiosyncratic return factors.

Sector Tilts:

Source: Bloomberg, 15 July

 

From a sector perspective, the FTSE Blossom Japan Index appears to be more heavily weighted towards value-oriented sectors like Financials and Consumer Staples. However, it is less tech-oriented compared to the Nikkei 225 index.

 

SGX FTSE Blossom Japan Index Futures

The SGX FTSE Blossom Japan Index Futures continues to lead the Japan ESG derivatives space, with month-end notional Open Interest reaching a high of US$174M and a record DAV of $11M as of March 2024.

 

 

Key Futures Contract Features

  • ~22 hour trading throughout the year, except 1 Jan
  • Cross-margining with SGX’s suite of Japanese equity derivatives and other liquid products.
  • Contract specifications designed similar to benchmark equity index futures for easy adoption and integration into portfolios
  • CFTC approved

 

Source: SGX, 17 July

 

Conclusion:

The Nikkei 225 and the FTSE Blossom Japan Index offer unique opportunities for investors interested in the Japanese market. The Nikkei 225, a well-established blue-chip equity index, provides exposure to Japan’s major companies and is heavily influenced by the technology sector. On the other hand, ESG-conscious investors can consider the FTSE Blossom Japan Index as it focuses on companies with strong ESG practices.

Ultimately, both indices offer a unique perspective on the Japanese market and can serve as effective tools for gaining exposure to this dynamic and evolving market.

 

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An Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) is a marketable security that is formed to track nearly anything, ranging from a specific index, sector, commodity, or increasingly, theme. They are most commonly used to track a basket of stocks, and can typically be accessed through the same channels as regular stocks. ETFs are typically separated into passively-managed ETFs that simply mirror the security they are tracking (e.g. the STI), and actively managed ones that attempt to deliver higher returns or specific investment objectives, often with a pre-specified theme in mind (e.g. ARK Invest’s Innovation ETF).

Why should I trade in ETF CFDs?

  • ETFs have been growing in popularity over the years. 2020 was the best year for ETFs yet, with global equity ETFs seeing more than $1T in inflows within a 12-month period. Using CFDs to gain exposure to ETFs allows for greater capital efficiency because only a portion of the contract value is required as margin to establish a position.
  • ETFs are particularly popular with investors seeking a relatively hassle-free investing experience, while desiring exposure to a range of specific and relatively understandable securities. Trading ETF CFDs brings greater convenience by eliminating the need for traders to hold multiple currencies in order to access global ETFs.
  • An investor wanting exposure to the post-pandemic economic recovery could open a position in the well-known SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), which tracks the performance of the S&P 500. Another investor that may be convinced of the future importance of Environmental, Social and Governance concerns (ESG) may find the increasing selection of ESG-themed ETFs that track a basket of high ESG-rating companies to be a good investment, rather than cherry-picking individual equities by hand. ETF CFDs can act as a powerful tool for traders can profit from both directions of the market by taking on long or short positions.

A look at two ETF CFDs we offer:

1) Has the ARKK been sunk?

ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) ARKK is an actively managed ETF by ARK Invest that invests in a range of companies based on their innovative and industry-disrupting potential. ARKK’s largest holdings are in companies such as Tesla, Square, and Zoom. ARKK is down around -33% from peaking on 12th Feb and is currently in the red for the year to date as the market experiences a risk-off outflow of funds. Superstar fund manager Cathie Wood has however been consistently doubling down on her bets, buying even more shares in growth stocks that are going through their own tumultuous periods such as DraftKings, Peloton, Teladoc, and Tesla. In her view, ARKK is playing the long game, and remains steadfastly convinced in the long-term prospects of these growth stocks beyond this current bout of volatility. Similarly on outflows, investors are still betting big on ARKK as ARK Invest has only lost about $1.2B in assets this year across all its six funds, compared to seeing an inflow of $15.1B during the same period. Recently, investors have been nervously eyeing ARKK’s basket of tech stocks as their future earnings potential remain vulnerable to erosion through high inflation – the dominant concern of the market in recent weeks. As commodities – the major contributor to the recent heightened inflation fears – drops sharply from record highs, are investor concerns over hyperinflation overblown?

2) Searching for exposure to Asian equities?

iShares MSCI Asia ex Japan ETF (AAXJ) The AAXJ is currently trading -10.6% adrift of all-time highs seen in February, giving up gains in tandem with an Asia-wide equity sell-off at the time. Given that slightly over 40% of the ETF’s holdings are based in China, the ongoing tumult seen in Chinese equities currently have carried over nearly perfectly in the AAXJ, as Chinese investors take a breather after the stellar gains made over the past year. Looking ahead, Asia – and particularly China, is steaming ahead with its economic recovery. China is widely expected to be one of the best-performing major economies this year, providing a major boost to the outlook for corporate earnings. As the rest of Asia and the world gradually opens up their own economies, AAXJ is likely to again benefit from strong Asian outperformance amidst a strengthening trade outlook.

CFD is available for trading on Phillip MetaTrader 5 (MT5).

Features of trading CFD:

  • Trade in both the bull and the bear markets
    The ability to enter a long and/or short position allow traders to take advantage of both rising and falling markets.
  • Smaller barrier to entry
    Flexible and smaller contract sizes. This means that traders will be able to enter into a contract with a modest amount of capital.
  • No expiration date or risk of delivery
    Unlike futures which commonly have a fixed expiration date, CFD allows traders to perpetually hold the position(s). CFD is cash settled, no need to worry about the delivery of the underlying asset.

 

Benefits of using Phillip MT5:

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