Weekly report courtesy of Eurex
The major economic releases of this week include holding a meeting this week to discuss interest rate rates with June being the expected time of rate cuts.
Market News
– On Thursday (29th February), Germany published its inflation report for February which saw rates falling to 2.7%, while
Eurozone inflation eased to 2.6% in February according to data released by EU on Friday (1st March). The fall in inflation was
expected by economist and will be a strong stand for European Central Bank to cut their interest rates later this year.
Although a large part of the falling inflation was due to the cheaper energy prices, Chief Economist Joerg Kraemer suggested
that without considering volatile food and energy prices, inflation hardly seem to be falling at all. (Source 1,2)
– ECB was not convinced and felt that inflation rate was declining slower than underlying price pressure and is very reluctant to
reduce interest rates. They will meet this week to determine how early they can start to cut interest rates. Although many
rate-setters are still worried of the rapid wage growth which was hiking prices in labor-intensive service sectors. (Source 1,2)
– On Friday (1st March), Goldman Sachs pushed back their forecast for ECB rates cut from April to June. They are being more
bearish and are anticipating five 25-basis-point cuts instead of the initial six. This could be possibly due to crucial core figures
which have missed expectations and forecast such as fuel prices and inflation rates. (Source)
Company News
– On Monday (26th February), Microsoft announced that they will be investing 15 million euro for a partnership with French start
up Mistral AI as they plan to expand its footprint in the fast-evolving artificial intelligence industry beyond OpenAI and unlock
new commercial opportunities. Under the deal, Mistral’s large language models will be available on Microsoft’s Azure cloud
computing platform, while its ChatGPT style multilingual conversational assistant “Le Chat” will be rolled out. Microsoft
President further state that ‘’ it is one of the most important days in terms of Microsoft’s technology support for Europe.
(Source)
– As Europe’s benchmark index hit a new record high on Friday (1st March) propelled by rate-sensitive stocks, the shares of
Daimler Truck hit a fresh all-time high, surging 18.1%, after posting record full-year profit, and announcing increasing of
dividends to return cash to investors. Additionally, the company posted better-than-expected pretax earnings for 2023 (+39%
YoY), beating analysts’ expectations”. (Source)
For more insights on the Dax and Euro Stoxx 50, don’t miss our upcoming webinar on Thursday, 28 March 2024 on Precision Engineered Trading Performance: German DAX and EURO STOXX 50 Futures. Click here to register now.
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